Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.037829 0.041100 0.044386 0.047928 0.051632 0.055385 0.059471
2025-12-07 0.032984 0.037879 0.042950 0.048573 0.054610 0.060876 0.067852
2025-12-14 0.028974 0.035016 0.041451 0.048761 0.056785 0.065278 0.074901
2025-12-21 0.026442 0.033434 0.041062 0.049908 0.059794 0.070421 0.082628
2025-12-28 0.023134 0.030670 0.039098 0.049074 0.060420 0.072797 0.087199
2026-01-04 0.020959 0.029003 0.038201 0.049283 0.062073 0.076198 0.092804
2026-01-11 0.019378 0.027894 0.037826 0.049980 0.064189 0.080043 0.098846
2026-01-18 0.017900 0.026784 0.037351 0.050472 0.065995 0.083479 0.104380
2026-01-25 0.015499 0.024361 0.035157 0.048808 0.065185 0.083838 0.106340
2026-02-01 0.013906 0.022851 0.033985 0.048281 0.065639 0.085592 0.109843
2026-02-08 0.012633 0.021668 0.033146 0.048096 0.066446 0.087713 0.113737
2026-02-15 0.012136 0.021489 0.033548 0.049418 0.069047 0.091930 0.120058
2026-02-22 0.011537 0.021158 0.033763 0.050536 0.071450 0.095978 0.126274
2026-03-01 0.010800 0.020586 0.033635 0.051203 0.073296 0.099369 0.131734
2026-03-08 0.009942 0.019783 0.033161 0.051398 0.074538 0.102030 0.136329
2026-03-15 0.009513 0.019579 0.033467 0.052581 0.076998 0.106148 0.142655
2026-03-22 0.008413 0.018287 0.032236 0.051721 0.076872 0.107121 0.145222
2026-03-29 0.007758 0.017632 0.031847 0.051936 0.078074 0.109688 0.149680
2026-04-05 0.007313 0.017276 0.031853 0.052656 0.079901 0.113009 0.155038
2026-04-12 0.006837 0.016834 0.031714 0.053163 0.081446 0.115977 0.159969
2026-04-19 0.005776 0.015323 0.029968 0.051446 0.080094 0.115349 0.160530
2026-04-26 0.005121 0.014449 0.029108 0.050903 0.080228 0.116534 0.163270
2026-05-03 0.004607 0.013781 0.028523 0.050711 0.080801 0.118252 0.166649